24 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1545
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1563
FormLLWWW
48%
52%
⚡ Cover lean · Oracz🌟Oracz covers set handicap as favourite 68% (38)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H16-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.