24 Jul · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1310
FormWWLLL
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1644
FormLWWWL
19%
81%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 69% (29)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~72 pts
0-3
41%
1-3
29%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+334
H2H12-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+334)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-1)