24 Jul · 11:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1549
FormWWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kosmal
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1463
FormLLLWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+86
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)