24 Jul · 12:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1535
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Niemiec
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1490
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Niemiec goes over total as favourite 78% (23)
Fair odds · Niemiec
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)