24 Jul · 13:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1597
FormLWWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Wichowski
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1492
FormWWLLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)