24 Jul · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1549
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kosmal
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1485
FormLLWWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+64
H2H7-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-3)