24 Jul · 12:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Kostyk
ELO 1526
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kostyk
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1507
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
🌟Glanowski goes over total as underdog 69% (42)
Fair odds · Kostyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 37% · 2.71· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.