24 Jul · 23:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1625
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Wojtaszczyk
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1694
FormWWWLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Wojtaszczyk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H2-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)