Jerzy Pelka vs Rafal Niemiec — TT Elite Series

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24 Jul · 12:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka

ELO 1499

3-0Final setsPelka won

🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec

ELO 1519

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Niemiec at 54%. The actual result was Jerzy Pelka 3-0 — the underdog won.

Jerzy Pelka — profile →Rafal Niemiec — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Rafal Niemiec favoured — closing 1.6

Upset

Total 78.5

59 points played

Under

Set handicap

Rafal Niemiec −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Rafal Niemiec −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

8.75

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Pelka is favoured to win, below means Rafal Niemiec.

▲ Jerzy Pelkapre 42% → final 100%

Rafal Niemiec ▼

Biggest swing 63 ptsPelka recovered from 37%69 points · 4 games