24 Jul · 16:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1564
FormWWWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kosmal
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1423
FormLLWLL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)