24 Jul · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1499
FormWLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Pelka
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1417
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+82
H2H21-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)