24 Jul · 17:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1519
FormLWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Niemiec
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1417
FormLLLLL
61%
39%
🌟Niemiec goes over total as favourite 78% (23)
Fair odds · Niemiec
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)