24 Jul · 16:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1610
FormWWWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Wichowski
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1475
FormWLLLW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+135
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)