24 Jul · 16:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AD
🇵🇱Artur Daniel
ELO 1682
FormWLLWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Daniel
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1494
FormLLLLL
70%
30%
🌟Glanowski goes over total as underdog 69% (42)
Fair odds · Daniel
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+188
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+188)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)