24 Jul · 18:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1503
FormLLLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Wichowski
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1610
FormWLWWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)