24 Jul · 18:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1419
FormWLLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1568
FormWWLWW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+149
H2H18-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-3)