24 Jul · 18:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1277
FormLLLLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Wnek
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1408
FormWWLLW
36%
64%
🔥 Underdog lean · Eliasz🌟Wnek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (45)
Fair odds · Wnek
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~79 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+131
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)