Cezary Pawlik vs Michal Natkaniec — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

24 Jul · 18:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik

ELO 1577

3-1Final setsPawlik won

🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec

ELO 1428

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 75%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Cezary Pawlik — profile →Michal Natkaniec — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.3

Favourite won

Total 73.5

77 points played

Over

Set handicap

Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Cezary Pawlik −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

3.2

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Michal Natkaniec.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 74% → final 98%

Michal Natkaniec ▼

Biggest swing 28 pts72 points · 4 games