24 Jul · 20:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1419
FormWWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kowalczyk
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1310
FormWLWLL
62%
38%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (25)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 37% · 2.71· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H7-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)