24 Jul · 20:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1644
FormWWLWL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Krutak
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1436
FormLLLLL
72%
28%
🌟Krutak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (30)
Fair odds · Krutak
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~78 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+208
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+208)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)