24 Jul · 20:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1506
FormLWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Gumulinski
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1408
FormLLLLW
61%
39%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as favourite 64% (28)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+98
H2H12-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-0)