24 Jul · 20:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1271
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Trela
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1411
FormWLWLW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Trela
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+140
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)