24 Jul · 20:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1390
FormLLLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Skorski
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1271
FormLLLLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+119
H2H7-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-3)