24 Jul · 20:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1343
FormWLLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Wrzalik
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1468
FormWWLLW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Wrzalik
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+125
H2H13-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-5)