24 Jul · 21:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1506
FormLWLLL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Gumulinski
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1239
FormLLLWL
77%
23%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as favourite 64% (28)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~78 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+267
H2H20-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+267)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-7)