24 Jul · 21:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1577
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krutak
MK
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1644
FormWWLWL
43%
57%
🌟Krutak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (30)
Fair odds · Krutak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~81 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+67
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)