24 Jul · 21:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1472
FormWWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Wrzalik
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1380
FormLLWWL
60%
40%
🌟Ruszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Wrzalik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+92
H2H7-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-3)