24 Jul · 21:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1427
FormWWWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Kowalczyk
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1278
FormWLLLL
66%
34%
🔥 Underdog lean · Eliasz🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (25)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+149
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)