24 Jul · 22:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1339
FormLWLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1513
FormWLWLL
32%
68%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as favourite 64% (28)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+174
H2H12-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+174)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-6)