24 Jul · 23:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1472
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1515
FormWWLWL
45%
55%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as favourite 64% (28)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H2-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)