24 Jul · 23:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1406
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Wnek
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1421
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
🌟Wnek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (45)
Fair odds · Wnek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 57% · 1.77· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H12-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.