24 Jul · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1587
FormWWLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Pawlik
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1437
FormWLLLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~79 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+150
H2H24-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-4)