24 Jul · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1405
FormWLLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Fira
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1237
FormLLLLW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Fira
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+168
H2H38-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-35)