25 Jul · 00:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MN
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1435
FormLWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Pawlik
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1592
FormWWWLW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+157
H2H31-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-3)