24 Jul · 23:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1232
FormLLLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Ruszkiewicz
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1387
FormWLLLW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Ruszkiewicz
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~79 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+155
H2H23-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+155)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)