25 Jul · 00:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1456
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Wrzalik
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1410
FormWWLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Wrzalik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)