25 Jul · 01:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1340
FormLWLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Wiza
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1227
FormLLLLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Wiza
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H81-65
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (81-65)