25 Jul · 01:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1397
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Wnek
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1410
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
🌟Wnek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (45)
Fair odds · Wnek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H12-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.