25 Jul · 02:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1647
FormWLWLW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Krutak
MN
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1428
FormLLWLW
72%
28%
🌟Krutak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (30)
Fair odds · Krutak
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~78 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+219
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+219)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)