25 Jul · 01:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1449
FormLLLWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Wrzalik
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1227
FormLLLLL
73%
27%
Fair odds · Wrzalik
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~76 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+222
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+222)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)