25 Jul · 02:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1598
FormWWWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Pawlik
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1430
FormLLWLL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+168
H2H25-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-4)