25 Jul · 03:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1647
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Krutak
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1607
FormWWWWW
54%
46%
🌟Krutak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (30)
Fair odds · Krutak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+40
H2H8-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.