25 Jul · 04:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1417
FormWLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1506
FormWLWLW
40%
60%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as favourite 64% (28)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H13-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-0)