25 Jul · 03:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1433
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Wrzalik
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1412
FormWWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Ruszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Wrzalik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H7-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.