25 Jul · 03:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1506
FormWLWLW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Gumulinski
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1254
FormWWLLL
75%
25%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as favourite 64% (28)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~77 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+252
H2H21-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+252)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-7)