25 Jul · 05:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1274
FormWLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Szoltysek
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1372
FormLLLWL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Szoltysek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+98
H2H16-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-14)