25 Jul · 07:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1400
FormLLWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Fira
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1267
FormWLWWW
64%
36%
Fair odds · Fira
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+133
H2H39-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-35)