25 Jul · 06:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1510
FormWWLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Gumulinski
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1380
FormLLLWW
64%
36%
🌟Ruszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~79 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+130
H2H12-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-4)