25 Jul · 06:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1438
FormLWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Wrzalik
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1349
FormWWWLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Wrzalik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H14-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-5)