25 Jul · 08:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1278
FormLLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Szoltysek
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1366
FormLWLLL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Szoltysek
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H17-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-14)